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Refusée Vaud Économie, travail et fiscalité 17 avril 2005

Vaud tax package: tax increases and the nursing-home law

In the early 2000s, Vaud's finances were emerging from a long run of deficits. To consolidate the books, the cantonal government — with Pascal Broulis (FDP/Liberal-Radical) as finance minister and the newly elected Pierre-Yves Maillard (SP) — proposed a package…

Oui — 38.5% Non — 61.5%
Participation : 35.3% · Conseil d'État vaudois ; référendum lancé par la droite et les milieux économiques
L'enjeu de l'époque

In the early 2000s, Vaud's finances were emerging from a long run of deficits. To consolidate the books, the cantonal government — with Pascal Broulis (FDP/Liberal-Radical) as finance minister and the newly elected Pierre-Yves Maillard (SP) — proposed a package of targeted tax increases, together with a new law on nursing homes (EMS).

Five measures went to the people on 17 April 2005: a property-gains tax, an extraordinary wealth tax, an extraordinary expenditure tax (lump-sum taxation), a cut to the savings-interest deduction, and the EMS law. The centre-right and business circles launched the referendum.

The verdict was emphatic: all five measures were rejected, from the property-gains tax (61.5 % No) to the EMS law (76.2 % No), on a turnout of about 35 %. Vaud voters said no to tax rises — and the future would largely prove them right.

Methodological note. This file does not judge the merits of the vote: it merely measures the campaign's verifiable claims against what has since been observed. The winners' promises and the losers' fears alike are tested against the data and the decisions that followed the ballot.
▲ The Yes camp (defeated)
The government, the Social Democrats and the left defended « targeted » increases to fund schools, nursing homes and hospitals. All measures are rejected.
▼ Five measures, five rejections (17.04.2005)
Property gains: 61.5 % No — Extraordinary wealth tax: 64.7 % — Extraordinary expenditure tax: 52.2 % — Savings-interest deduction: 68.3 % — EMS law: 76.2 %.

The players

▲ Yes camp (for the increases)
The cantonal government as a body, including Pascal Broulis (FDP, Finance) and Pierre-Yves Maillard (SP)
The Social Democratic Party, the Greens and the unions
Defenders of public services (schools, nursing homes, hospitals)
▼ No camp (referendum committee)
The centre-right (Radicals/Liberals, SVP) and business circles
Taxpayer and business-defence associations
• Opponents of any tax rise — including the base of the finance minister's own party

Arguments and verdicts

▲ Arguments FOR (Yes camp)
Without this revenue, public services will suffer
« schools, nursing homes, hospitals and subsidies will pay for a No »
Verdict: ✗ Disproved by the facts.
The announced cuts never materialised: from the mid-2000s the Vaud books recovered and the canton strung together budget surpluses under the Broulis era.
Source: Le Temps; cantonal accounts
A « reasonable », targeted fiscal effort
« the effort asked of Vaud taxpayers is reasonable »
Verdict: ✗~ Judged unnecessary — by voters and by hindsight.
Voters refused the effort, and the trajectory of cantonal finances vindicated them: the canton balanced its books without these rises, then even cut taxes (tax shield 2009, corporate-tax reform 2016).
Source: Le Temps
▼ Arguments AGAINST (No camp)
The canton can balance its books without new taxes
« savings rather than tax rises »
Verdict: ✓ Confirmed.
The 2005 budget already planned CHF 200 million in savings; the following years closed in surplus, bearing out the case for recovery without heavier taxation.
Source: Le Temps; cantonal accounts
Too much tax harms the canton's appeal
« do not penalise taxpayers and businesses »
Verdict: ✓~ Broadly confirmed.
Vaud went on to become more tax-competitive (the 2016 corporate-tax reform passed overwhelmingly). Caveat: the 2009 tax shield was criticised for applying too generously to high earners.
Source: Le Temps; 24 heures

The record, in figures

5/5
tax measures rejected on 17.04.2005
76.2%
No on the most rejected (EMS law)
~
~35%
turnout
Surpluses
cantonal finances recovered in later years — without the rises
Note. The 2005 ballot sent a clear signal: Vaud voters did not want tax rises to balance the books. Events largely proved them right — the canton recovered without them — even if the tax shield adopted later would expose the limits of fiscal generosity.
Analyse éditoriale
Conclusion

17 April 2005 staged a Vaud classic: a government demanding a fiscal effort to balance the books, and an electorate flatly refusing. The piquant twist: it is the centre-right — finance minister Pascal Broulis's own political family — that led the referendum against the government's package.

The rejection was sweeping and uniform: all five measures fell, from the closest (expenditure tax, 52.2 % No) to the most decisive (EMS law, 76.2 %).

Events vindicated the opponents. Far from the predicted asphyxiation, cantonal finances recovered and the canton piled up surpluses — even cutting taxes in the following decade. The Yes camp's fears did not come to pass.

One caveat remains: fiscal restraint sometimes tipped into generosity. The tax shield adopted in 2009 was criticised — and even triggered a legal dispute — for cutting the wealthiest's taxes too far. On 2005, however, voters had it right.